Europe’s middle-distance championship returns to ParisLongchamp on Sunday, October 4, when 16 runners contest the Group 1 Qatar Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe (2400m).
Defending champion Daryz heads the field for the €5 million showpiece, with Thursday’s draw strengthening his position. Stall five gives Mickael Barzalona options as the Aga Khan homebred bids to become the first male horse since Alleged in 1978 to win successive Arcs.
His latest appearance supplied the strongest evidence that he remains the horse to beat. After finishing third in the Prince of Wales’s Stakes at Royal Ascot, the Francis-Henri Graffard-trained four-year-old returned to winning form in the Prix Foy, comfortably accounting for Bay City Roller.
Yet this is far from a one-horse race. Maltese Cross brings progressive three-year-old form, Kalpana arrives as the reigning King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes winner, and Classic-winning fillies Thundering On and Diamond Necklace add further depth.
The draw produced contrasting fortunes for Aidan O’Brien. Ryan Moore partners Benvenuto Cellini from stall one, William Buick rides Minnie Hauk from ten, and Christophe Soumillon faces a more demanding assignment aboard Diamond Necklace from the outside gate.
Reports heading into the weekend point towards relatively quick autumn conditions, although the final going remains important.
A sound surface would suit Maltese Cross, while Bay City Roller would welcome rain. Thundering On has also shown her best with some give underfoot.
With Friendly Soul and Meisho Tabaru capable of racing prominently, the tactical picture could be lively. The key for those drawn wide will be finding cover without spending too much energy before the field turns for home.
Numbers below are race numbers; stalls are shown separately. Assessments reflect the available form and draw.
1. Daryz — Stall 5
Trainer: Francis-Henri Graffard | Jockey: Mickael Barzalona
The champion has won the Prix Ganay, Prix d’Ispahan and Prix Foy this season. His trial suggested the Royal Ascot defeat had left no lasting mark. Proven over this course and distance, with an economical draw, he sets the standard. Verdict: The horse to beat.
2. Saddadd — Stall 9
Trainer: Roger Varian | Jockey: Ray Dawson
Earned his first Group 1 in the Grosser Preis von Baden, proving himself at 2400m. That success gives him a credible staying platform, although this demands another improvement. Verdict: An interesting outsider.
3. Chestnut Rocket — Stall 2
Trainer: Alicja Karkosa | Jockey: Marvin Grandin
Last year’s Polish Derby winner finished second in the Grand Prix de Deauville. The inside draw helps, but he faces a considerable rise in class. Verdict: A difficult assignment.
4. Admire Terra — Stall 12
Trainer: Yasuo Tomomichi | Jockey: Cristian Demuro
One of two Japanese challengers, with more to prove at Group 1 level than his compatriot. Stall twelve adds another complication. Verdict: Needs a career-best performance.
5. Meisho Tabaru — Stall 13
Trainer: Mamoru Ishibashi | Jockey: Yutaka Take
Back-to-back Takarazuka Kinen victories establish his top-level credentials. His prominent racing style could influence the pace, but the outside draw makes securing position important. Verdict: Japan’s stronger contender.
6. Arrow Eagle — Stall 14
Trainer: Jean-Claude Rouget | Jockey: Ioritz Mendizabal
Sixth in last year’s Arc and third in the Grand Prix de Deauville on his latest start. Experience helps, but his recent form leaves improvement necessary. Verdict: An outsider with place ambitions.
7. Bay City Roller — Stall 15
Trainer: George Scott | Jockey: Oisin Murphy
The Coronation Cup winner chased home Daryz in the Prix Foy. Rain would strengthen his case, but stall fifteen makes the task harder. Verdict: More appealing if conditions soften.
8. Minnie Hauk — Stall 10
Trainer: Aidan O’Brien | Jockey: William Buick
Last year’s runner-up has struggled to reproduce that level consistently. Third behind Kalpana in the Yorkshire Oaks offered encouragement. Verdict: Dangerous if returning to her best.
9. Kalpana — Stall 6
Trainer: Andrew Balding | Jockey: Colin Keane
The King George and Yorkshire Oaks winner appears stronger than when seventh here last year. Her draw provides a good opportunity to secure a comfortable passage. Verdict: A major threat to the favourite.
10. Friendly Soul — Stall 7
Trainer: John and Thady Gosden | Jockey: James Doyle
Made all in a record-breaking Prix Vermeille on her first attempt at 2400m. Already a Prix de l’Opéra winner here, she has clear course credentials. Verdict: A credible contender in a tougher field.
11. Varandir — Stall 4
Trainer: Francis-Henri Graffard | Jockey: Clement Lecoeuvre
The Prix Niel winner gives the champion’s connections another serious chance. Fourth behind Maltese Cross in the Grand Prix de Paris, he remains lightly raced and well drawn. Verdict: A progressive each-way contender.
12. Benvenuto Cellini — Stall 1
Trainer: Aidan O’Brien | Jockey: Ryan Moore
The Irish Derby winner finished third in the King George before disappointing in the Prix Niel. Moore’s booking and the inside stall add interest, but he must rebound. Verdict: Capable of better than his latest run.
13. Bright Light — Stall 8
Trainer: Andreas Suborics | Jockey: Benjamin Marie
Third behind Saddadd at Baden-Baden, he has Group 1 placing credentials in Germany. This field presents a substantially tougher test. Verdict: Has plenty to find.
14. Maltese Cross — Stall 11
Trainer: William Haggas | Jockey: Tom Marquand
The Derby runner-up subsequently won the Grand Prix de Paris and Great Voltigeur, prompting connections to target Paris rather than the St Leger. His combination of stamina and improving speed makes him a leading challenger. Verdict: The strongest three-year-old colt on recent form.
15. Thundering On — Stall 3
Trainer: Joseph O’Brien | Jockey: Pierre-Charles Boudot
The Oaks heroine returned to winning form in the Blandford Stakes after a midsummer break. Proven stamina, a low draw and the three-year-old filly’s allowances make her dangerous. Verdict: A serious challenger, especially with some give.
16. Diamond Necklace — Stall 16
Trainer: Aidan O’Brien | Jockey: Christophe Soumillon
The French 1,000 Guineas, Prix de Diane and Nassau Stakes winner brings outstanding shorter-distance form. However, her first attempt at 2400m comes from the widest stall. Verdict: Classy, with stamina and tactical questions to answer.
The Verdict
Daryz is the selection. His successful trial, proven Arc ability and favourable draw give him the most convincing overall case.
Kalpana looks the strongest older challenger, while Maltese Cross brings the progressive profile to threaten both. Varandir earns the fourth spot through his course form, improvement and inside draw.
